Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 541,914 Market Cap: 2.01B Sector: Services Short Interest: 16.06 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
CONSENSUS EPS: .93/share REV: 217/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1,35/share ESTIMATED: 1.28/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: 1.02/share REV: 219/M
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FY19: EPS: 4.26/share REV: 947.4/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 61% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) :5.39, 7.55, 9.47
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
What a brutal six months it’s been for Jack in the Box. The stock has dropped 58% and now trades at $20.22, rattling many shareholders. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Fast-food chain Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK) exceeded the market’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, with sales falling 7.8% year on year to $336.7 million. Its non-GAAP EPS of $1.20 per share was 4.2% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
SAN DIEGO, May 29, 2025–Jack in the Box Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is turning up the volume on late-night cravings with its latest Munchie Meal collab: a flavor-packed, gamer-approved meal designed by none other than T-Pain – music icon, streamer, podcaster, and professional night owl.
Dawn Hooper is taking the permanent CFO seat as the California-based fast food chain plans to close 150-200 underperforming restaurants.
Dawn Hooper, who has served as interim finance head for months, takes the role as the company faces sales trouble and the pending sale of Del Taco.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers tranjectory analysis reveals a sell post release with investor sentiment being soft on the news. We were thinking this was a long play but the data suggests otherwise and it looks like they may come in-line on the base metrics but expectations on the forward guide and same store sales may be weak.
We are SHORT on the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 8%
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UPDATE: (2:32PM) We remain biased short on this event.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on revenue.. but beat on EPS. We remain short with a revised profit target of 5%
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.