Jump Report
Avg Daily Volume: 113,031 Market Cap: 649.79M
Sector: Services Short Interest: 5.28
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: 1.82/share REV: 187.04/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1.55/share ESTIMATED: 1.02/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .1.71/share REV: 178.23/M
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FY19: EPS: 6.48/share REV: 676.81/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 83% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 7.55, 18.02, 22.31
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 12-15%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
A company that generates cash isn’t automatically a winner. Some businesses stockpile cash but fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their ability to expand.
What a brutal six months it’s been for America’s Car-Mart. The stock has dropped 44.7% and now trades at $11.98, rattling many shareholders. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and might have investors contemplating their next move.
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after April retail sales data showed consumer spending remained solid despite rising gas prices and inflation.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after April PPI hit 6% annually, the highest in over three years, confirming that wholesale cost pressures were accelerating just as consumer real wages turned negative for the first time since 2023.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after April CPI hit 3.8%, the highest reading in nearly three years, confirming that tariffs and oil would show up in store prices.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
Stockjumpers trajectory analysis reveals a surprise negative reaction to the earnings release news. This stock has been on a tear this year and is trading near all time highs. (102/share now). We think its in overbought territory so any soft release news like less than stellar sales will cause a correction. That’s the scenario we see unfolding today. They may beat on EPS, but if sales going forward show signs of weakness, and we think it will this stock is headed south on the news.
We are SHORT for the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 15%
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UPDATE: We are cautiously short.. we think they will do well, but be softer on sales expectations.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on sales, but beat on EPS. We will hold until the AM
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.