Jump Report
Avg Daily Volume: 113,031 Market Cap: 649.79M
Sector: Services Short Interest: 5.28
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: 1.82/share REV: 187.04/M
___________________________________________________________
LAST QTR: EPS: 1.55/share ESTIMATED: 1.02/share (BEAT)
_____________________________________________________________
NEXT QTR: EPS: .1.71/share REV: 178.23/M
______________________________________________________
FY19: EPS: 6.48/share REV: 676.81/M
______________________________________________________
*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 83% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 7.55, 18.02, 22.31
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 12-15%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
As the Q2 earnings season wraps, let’s dig into this quarter’s best and worst performers in the vehicle retailer industry, including America’s Car-Mart (NASDAQ:CRMT) and its peers.
Retailers are adapting their business models as technology changes how people shop. Still, demand can be volatile as the industry is exposed to the ups and downs of consumer spending. This has stirred some uncertainty lately as retail stocks have lagged the market over the past six months, posting a return of 1.9% compared to 12.7% for the S&P 500.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after the August Producer Price Index rose 5.4% year-over-year and crude oil climbed past $100 per barrel, fueling renewed fears of stubborn inflation and extended borrowing costs. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4% month-over-month in August, driven largely by rising energy and diesel fuel costs. The 5.4% annual increase topped forecasts, underscoring persistent wholesale cos
Used-car retailer America’s Car-Mart (NASDAQ:CRMT) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales falling 57.1% year on year to $145.8 million. Its non-GAAP loss of $6.65 per share was significantly below analysts’ consensus estimates.
America’s Car-Mart (NASDAQ:CRMT) reported a 57. 3% decline in first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue to $145.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
“I’m sorry, this content is for members only. To access this content, you must log in with your membership credentials – OR if you are not a member yet, visit our registration page here and get signed up Looking forward to having you on-board ASAP”
ANALYSIS:
Stockjumpers trajectory analysis reveals a surprise negative reaction to the earnings release news. This stock has been on a tear this year and is trading near all time highs. (102/share now). We think its in overbought territory so any soft release news like less than stellar sales will cause a correction. That’s the scenario we see unfolding today. They may beat on EPS, but if sales going forward show signs of weakness, and we think it will this stock is headed south on the news.
We are SHORT for the event.
___________________
TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 15%
___________________
UPDATE: We are cautiously short.. we think they will do well, but be softer on sales expectations.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on sales, but beat on EPS. We will hold until the AM
[/mepr-sho
This area reserved for subscribers to the Options Intelligence Strategy. If this is something you wish to participate in, just let us know below.
NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.