Jump Report
Avg Daily Volume: 113,031 Market Cap: 649.79M
Sector: Services Short Interest: 5.28
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: 1.82/share REV: 187.04/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1.55/share ESTIMATED: 1.02/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .1.71/share REV: 178.23/M
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FY19: EPS: 6.48/share REV: 676.81/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 83% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 7.55, 18.02, 22.31
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 12-15%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
With its stock down 15% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard America’s Car-Mart (NASDAQ:CRMT). However…
Sonic Automotive (SAH) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -4.90% and 3.87%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2022. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Penske (PAG) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 20.81% and 11.48%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2022. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
ROGERS, Ark., April 25, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — America’s Car-Mart, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) (the “Company”) today announced that it has priced $400 million in aggregate principal amount of asset-backed notes (the “Notes”), a subprime auto loan asset-backed securitization transaction. The Notes will be issued in four classes, collateralized by loans directly originated by the Company’s operating subsidiaries, America’s Car Mart, Inc. and Texas Car-Mart, Inc. (collectively “Car Mart”), with expected
Rogers, Arkansas, April 25, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — America’s Car-Mart, Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) today announced it will release fiscal 2022 fourth quarter and full year financial results on Monday, May 23, 2022, after the market closes. Senior management will hold a conference call on Tuesday, May 24, 2022 at 11:00 a.m. (Eastern). A live audio of the conference call will be accessible to the public by calling (877) 776-4031, conference ID #6579153. International callers should dial (631) 291-4132.
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ANALYSIS:
Stockjumpers trajectory analysis reveals a surprise negative reaction to the earnings release news. This stock has been on a tear this year and is trading near all time highs. (102/share now). We think its in overbought territory so any soft release news like less than stellar sales will cause a correction. That’s the scenario we see unfolding today. They may beat on EPS, but if sales going forward show signs of weakness, and we think it will this stock is headed south on the news.
We are SHORT for the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 15%
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UPDATE: We are cautiously short.. we think they will do well, but be softer on sales expectations.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on sales, but beat on EPS. We will hold until the AM
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.