JUMP REPORT
GROUPON (GRPN)
EARNINGS RELEASE - JUNE 16 (AMC)
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
THIS QTR: EPS: -1.91/share REV: 369.14/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 3.03/share ACTUAL: 1.4/share (MISS)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: -2.14/share REV: 199.97/M
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FULL YR: EPS: -4.56/Share REV: 1,010/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
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BEAT/MISS RECORD: 58% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) -44.26, -9, -8.82
EXPECTED JUMP MOVE: 15%
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*** With market volatility at extremes during the coronavirus pandemic there is greater risk in trading these events which may not react as they would under normal market conditions. Please take extra caution before trading.
Links To Latest News and Headlines
(Bloomberg) — The South China Morning Post has picked Expedia’s Asian head Catherine So to become its new chief executive officer, putting a technology and media veteran at the helm of the news outlet owned by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.Most Read from BloombergUS Futures Gain With European Stocks; Dollar Slips: Markets WrapBiden Says US Recession Avoidable After Call With Ex-Treasury Secretary SummersPutin May Win in Ukraine, But the Real War Is Just StartingHousing’s Slowdown Has Economy on the
CHICAGO, June 14, 2022–Groupon, the trusted marketplace where consumers go to buy services and experiences that make life more interesting and deliver boundless value, is taking steps to simplify the company’s technology platform and lean more into automation. Ultimately, Groupon believes these changes will allow it to accelerate its pace of product development and support better customer and merchant experiences.
CHICAGO, June 13, 2022–Groupon has entered into a cooperation agreement with Pale Fire Capital SE, the company’s largest stockholder.
Groupon (GRPN) reported earnings 30 days ago. What’s next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
CHICAGO, June 03, 2022–Groupon, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) announced that Kedar Deshpande, Chief Executive Officer, and Damien Schmitz, Interim Chief Financial Officer, will participate in the Baird Global Consumer, Technology & Services Conference on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. Kedar Deshpande will participate in a fireside chat at 3:45pm ET. A live audio webcast and replay of the event will be available on the company’s investor relations website (investor.groupon.com).
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Trading an earnings catalyst events can be very rewarding (5-20% returns in a matter of minutes or hours) but it is also very risky. Timing plays a key role in whether a trade is profitable or not. Here is our general guideline for how we trade these events in-house.
ENTRY: The system we use to trade these volatile events is to enter at or near market close based on the Trajectory Analysis. For equities trades it’s a simple BUY or SELL order based on a pre-set trade allocation amount about 5 minutes before market close.
Then after the earnings release occurs we review the data carefully. Was it a beat or a miss on expectations? What does the forward guidance look like? Are there other important metrics being reported? (such as subscribers, or same-store sales etc). Often the stock price can swing wildly if the release metrics are mixed or there is no clear cut bull or bear bias.
EXIT: In the majority of cases where the direction call was correct (short or long) the best time to take profit is the following day about an hour after market open. If the direction call was wrong, or the release data is mixed, we find it best to get out of the trade quickly in the aftermarket, at a profit if possible. Exiting a trade becomes more art than science, based on experience trading that stock, general market conditions and the momentum of the market’s reaction to the release news.
PROFIT/LOSS: Knowing when to take profit or a loss on a trade is an individual decision based on experience and the risk/reward appetite of a trader. This is why traders can lose money on the same event that another trader profited from. The more experience trading catalyst events the easier it becomes to make good trading decisions.
Avg Daily Volume: 14,846,572 Market Cap: 411.41M
Sector: Technology Short Interest: 3.29
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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is stripped down to only what is needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.
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by Team Stockjumpers