GROUPON (GRPN)

EARNINGS RELEASE - JUNE 16 (AMC)

EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:  

     THIS QTR:   EPS:       -1.91/share     REV:  369.14/M
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     LAST QTR:  EPS:        3.03/share     ACTUAL:  1.4/share  (MISS)
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     NEXT QTR:  EPS:       -2.14/share     REV:  199.97/M
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     FULL YR:     EPS:        -4.56/Share     REV: 1,010/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
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BEAT/MISS RECORD:  58% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES

PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) -44.26, -9, -8.82

EXPECTED JUMP MOVE:  15%

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*** With market volatility at extremes during the coronavirus pandemic there is greater risk in trading these events which may not react as they would under normal market conditions. Please take extra caution before trading. 

Links To Latest News and Headlines

Groupon will release Q3 2020 financial results after the close of market trading on Thurs., Nov. 5 and hold a call to discuss them the following day.

Groupon and the National Black Chamber of Commerce surveyed Black business owners––finding strong public support and greater advocacy needed.

Groupon (GRPN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Best Buy, Groupon, Fortinet, Check Point Software Technologies and Zix highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day

28 Jul, 2020 @ 10:17 by Yahoo! Finance

Bear of the Day: Groupon (GRPN)

StockJumpers analysis and trade plans are uploaded generally 1 HOUR BEFORE MARKETS CLOSE (3PM EST) for most events.

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Trading an earnings catalyst events can be very rewarding (5-20% returns in a matter of minutes or hours) but it is also very risky. Timing plays a key role in whether a trade is profitable or not. Here is our general guideline for how we trade these events in-house.

ENTRY: The system we use to trade these volatile events is to enter at or near market close based on the Trajectory Analysis. For equities trades it’s a simple BUY or SELL order based on a pre-set trade allocation amount about 5 minutes before market close.

Then after the earnings release occurs we review the data carefully. Was it a beat or a miss on expectations? What does the forward guidance look like? Are there other important metrics being reported? (such as subscribers, or same-store sales etc). Often the stock price can swing wildly if the release metrics are mixed or there is no clear cut bull or bear bias. 

EXIT:  In the majority of cases where the direction call was correct (short or long) the best time to take profit is the following day about an hour after market openIf the direction call was wrong, or the release data is mixed, we find it best to get out of the trade quickly in the aftermarket, at a profit if possible. Exiting a trade becomes more art than science, based on experience trading that stock, general market conditions and the momentum of the market’s reaction to the release news.

PROFIT/LOSS: Knowing when to take profit or a loss on a trade is an individual decision based on experience and the risk/reward appetite of a trader. This is why traders can lose money on the same event that another trader profited from. The more experience trading catalyst events the easier it becomes to make good trading decisions. 

Avg Daily Volume: 14,846,572    Market Cap: 411.41M
Sector: Technology    Short Interest: 3.29

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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is stripped down to only what is needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory. 

NOTICE: All data on this site has been published for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any security which may be referenced here or in our websites. StockJumpers is not an Investment Adviser and relies on the publisher’s exemption as defined in Section 401(f) of the Uniform Securities Act, and provides no personal advice or recommendations. The services and published information contained herein is for non-commercial, educational use and display. StockJumpers and any of its affiliates does not represent that the securities or services discussed are suitable for any investor. You should assume that StockJumpers and or its management has or will take a position in the stock, whether it is stated or not. You are further advised not to rely on any information contained in this report and associated websites in the process of making a fully informed investment decision. Trading is risky and you can lose your investment. For the complete risk disclosure and other legal information please review the full Terms of Use Agreement.