Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 541,914 Market Cap: 2.01B Sector: Services Short Interest: 16.06 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
CONSENSUS EPS: .93/share REV: 217/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1,35/share ESTIMATED: 1.28/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: 1.02/share REV: 219/M
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FY19: EPS: 4.26/share REV: 947.4/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 61% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) :5.39, 7.55, 9.47
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
From fast food to fine dining, restaurants play a vital societal role. But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows as they’re notoriously hard to run thanks to perishable ingredients, labor shortages, or volatile consumer spending. Unfortunately, these factors have spelled trouble for the industry as it has shed 7% over the past six months. This drawdown was discouraging since the S&P 500 stood firm.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after crude oil prices surged past $100 per barrel due to geopolitical conflict, sparking concerns over rising operational costs and a potential decline in consumer spending.
Egan-Jones Proxy published an analysis examining the results of Jack in the Box’s 2026 annual meeting and what the voting outcomes may indicate about shareholder sentiment following a period of sustained underperformance.
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after a U.S. jobs report that was much weaker than anticipated signaled potential challenges for consumer spending.
Small-cap stocks can be incredibly lucrative investments because their lack of analyst coverage leads to frequent mispricings. However, these businesses (and their stock prices) often stay small because their subscale operations make it harder to expand their competitive moats.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers tranjectory analysis reveals a sell post release with investor sentiment being soft on the news. We were thinking this was a long play but the data suggests otherwise and it looks like they may come in-line on the base metrics but expectations on the forward guide and same store sales may be weak.
We are SHORT on the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 8%
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UPDATE: (2:32PM) We remain biased short on this event.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on revenue.. but beat on EPS. We remain short with a revised profit target of 5%
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.