Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 541,914 Market Cap: 2.01B Sector: Services Short Interest: 16.06 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
CONSENSUS EPS: .93/share REV: 217/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1,35/share ESTIMATED: 1.28/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: 1.02/share REV: 219/M
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FY19: EPS: 4.26/share REV: 947.4/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 61% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) :5.39, 7.55, 9.47
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after the major indices pulled back (Nasdaq -1.3%, S&P 500 -1.1%) as Israel carried out significant strikes on Iranian nuclear and military sites, dramatically escalating fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. This development has sent crude oil prices surging, as investors fear potential disruptions to global oil supply and a wider regional conflict.
While strong cash flow is a key indicator of stability, it doesn’t always translate to superior returns. Some cash-heavy businesses struggle with inefficient spending, slowing demand, or weak competitive positioning.
SAN DIEGO, June 10, 2025–This month, Jack in the Box, Inc. (NASDAQ: JACK) is turning up the drink variety with a bold new addition: the all-new SOUR PATCH KIDS® Watermelon beverages. In partnership with the iconic SOUR PATCH KIDS® brand, Jack is introducing a tangy, refreshing drink lineup that brings the unmistakable SOUR THEN SWEET® experience to your cup.
As the craze of earnings season draws to a close, here’s a look back at some of the most exciting (and some less so) results from Q1. Today, we are looking at traditional fast food stocks, starting with Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK).
What a brutal six months it’s been for Jack in the Box. The stock has dropped 58% and now trades at $20.22, rattling many shareholders. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers tranjectory analysis reveals a sell post release with investor sentiment being soft on the news. We were thinking this was a long play but the data suggests otherwise and it looks like they may come in-line on the base metrics but expectations on the forward guide and same store sales may be weak.
We are SHORT on the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 8%
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UPDATE: (2:32PM) We remain biased short on this event.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on revenue.. but beat on EPS. We remain short with a revised profit target of 5%
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.