Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 541,914 Market Cap: 2.01B Sector: Services Short Interest: 16.06 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
CONSENSUS EPS: .93/share REV: 217/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: 1,35/share ESTIMATED: 1.28/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: 1.02/share REV: 219/M
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FY19: EPS: 4.26/share REV: 947.4/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 61% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) :5.39, 7.55, 9.47
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
McDonald’s (MCD) reaches a sale and purchase agreement with its current licensee Alexander Govor.
Jack in the Box (JACK) fiscal second-quarter results are likely to reflect benefits from regular menu innovation, increased focus on delivery channels and marketing strategies.
Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) is benefiting from a new store growth strategy, digitalization and sales building efforts.
McDonald’s (MCD) is benefiting from the loyalty program, digitalization, robust comps growth and expansion efforts.
Wendy’s (WEN) is benefiting from the focus on menu innovation, technological upgrades and international expansion.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers tranjectory analysis reveals a sell post release with investor sentiment being soft on the news. We were thinking this was a long play but the data suggests otherwise and it looks like they may come in-line on the base metrics but expectations on the forward guide and same store sales may be weak.
We are SHORT on the event.
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 8%
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UPDATE: (2:32PM) We remain biased short on this event.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on revenue.. but beat on EPS. We remain short with a revised profit target of 5%
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.