JACK-IN-THE-BOX (JACK)

EARNINGS RELEASE WEDNESDAY- MAY 15 (AMC)

JUMP BACK

Jump Report

Avg Daily Volume: 541,914    Market Cap: 2.01B 
Sector: Services    Short Interest: 16.06

EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:   

CONSENSUS     EPS:  .93/share      REV:  217/M

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   LAST QTR:  EPS: 1,35/share    ESTIMATED: 1.28/share  (BEAT)
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   NEXT QTR: EPS: 1.02/share    REV: 219/M
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   FY19:  EPS:  4.26/share    REV: 947.4/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers

BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 61% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES

PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) :5.39, 7.55, 9.47

POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE:   8-10%

Links To Latest News and Headlines

Barron’s looked for restaurants that appear poised to deliver earnings growth this year but that haven’t been bid up to unreasonable levels already.

Jack in the Box (JACK) is gaining from solid performance of Tiny Taco, menu innovation and digitalization.

Shake Shack’s (SHAK) both average weekly sales and same-sack sales have witnessed continued improvement throughout the fiscal fourth quarter.

12 Jan, 2021 @ 15:09 by Yahoo! Finance

Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) comps in fourth-quarter fiscal 2020 continues to be impacted by renewed operating restrictions due to the pandemic.

12 Jan, 2021 @ 14:10 by Yahoo! Finance

Chipotle (CMG) intends to hire new restaurant team members through Coast To Coast Career Day hiring event initiative.

Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.

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ANALYSIS:

StockJumpers tranjectory analysis reveals a sell post release with investor sentiment being soft on the news. We were thinking this was a long play but the data suggests otherwise and it looks like they may come in-line on the base metrics but expectations on the forward guide and same store sales may be weak. 

We are SHORT on the event.

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TRADE PLAN:

ENTRY:  SELL – end of day
STOP LOSS:  5%
TAKE PROFIT:  8%
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UPDATE: (2:32PM) We remain biased short on this event.

POST RELEASE ACTION:  They missed on revenue.. but beat on EPS. We remain short with a revised profit target of 5%

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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.