JUMP REPORT
| Avg Daily Volume: 8,490,778 Market Cap: 123.88B Sector: Services Short Interest: 3.61 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
THIS QTR: EPS: 1.04/share REV: 5,250/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .56/share ACTUAL: .60/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .81/share REV: 5,560/M
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FULL YR: EPS: 3.23/share REV: 20,200/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
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BEAT/MISS RECORD: 69% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) -11.62, 2.58, -4.6
EXPECTED JUMP MOVE: 8%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
A widening viewing gap is reshaping Netflix’s growth outlook
Netflix has “a growing YouTube problem,” a Wall Street analyst says. Alphabet’s YouTube is taking increasing viewer share.
Netflix stock just hit a crossroads. Wall Street can’t agree.
In recent days, Wells Fargo downgraded Netflix after flagging weaker viewer engagement and rising pressure from rivals such as YouTube, intensifying concerns about how much time subscribers spend on the platform. The downgrade has thrown a spotlight on whether Netflix’s push into formats like live sports, video podcasts, and short-form “Verts” can meaningfully revive engagement. Now we’ll examine how these engagement concerns and competitive pressures could influence Netflix’s previously…
Both Paramount and Warner Bros. jumped on Monday after settling an antitrust lawsuit that could have blocked the merger.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals an initial pop up on the news, but then a sell off and the price moves down. The market reaction may be mixed and the metric being watched is new subscribers (domestic and international). Most analysts are bullish… and there is good news but overall we think it will fall by morning.
We are biased SHORT on the event.
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OUR TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL end of day
STOP LOSS: NA
INITIAL PROFIT TARGET: 8%
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TRADE ASSIST: NO
POST RELEASE ACTION:
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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.
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