Jump Report
Avg Daily Volume: 488,407 Market Cap: 483.78M
Sector: Services Short Interest: None
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: .84/share REV: 258.9/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .O8/share ESTIMATED: .06 /share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .76/share REV: 271.06/M
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FY19: EPS: 2.66/share REV: 1,004/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 71% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 23.75, 13.29, 20.29
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 15-20%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
FORT MILL, S.C., May 19, 2025–Shoe Carnival, Inc. (Nasdaq: SCVL) (the “Company”), a leading retailer of footwear and accessories for the family, today announced that first quarter 2025 earnings results will be released on Friday, May 30, 2025, before the market open. The Company will host its quarterly conference call to discuss first quarter 2025 results at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
In the wake of a significant surge in major U.S. indices following a pivotal U.S.-China tariff agreement, investors are keenly observing market dynamics as stocks like Amazon, Apple, and Nike drive notable gains. Amidst this optimistic backdrop, dividend stocks remain an attractive option for those seeking steady income and potential growth, especially during times of economic uncertainty when consistent returns become increasingly valuable.
Wrapping up Q4 earnings, we look at the numbers and key takeaways for the footwear retailer stocks, including Foot Locker (NYSE:FL) and its peers.
Earnings results often indicate what direction a company will take in the months ahead. With Q4 behind us, let’s have a look at Boot Barn (NYSE:BOOT) and its peers.
As the U.S. market navigates a landscape marked by cautious optimism over trade talks and fluctuating indices, investors are keenly observing small-cap stocks for potential opportunities. In this environment, identifying promising stocks often involves looking beyond the headlines to discover companies with solid fundamentals and growth potential that may not yet be widely recognized.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals a negative reaction to the earnings release and we see the price dropping post release. This is following a similar pattern to the recent retail plays – where they are a bit softer on sales than expected. They did extremely well last quarter, and the stock popped 23% on the news. Most of that gain has been eroded over the last few weeks and expectations are higher this quarter. We will be looking at their forward guidance as the metric that will move the stock price, as next quarters guide will have a lot to do with how today’s price action unfolds.
We are SHORT on this event
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL – end of day (watch for some of the move to be priced in)
STOP LOSS: NA
TAKE PROFIT: 12%
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UPDATE: (2:55PM) Our bias remains short. Due to volume issues there may not be any movement until the AM. We are also concerned that much of the move may be priced in and would be more comfortable shorting this stock at 34/share vs. 31/share.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They missed on both the top and bottom, but raised guidance which seems like an easy way to prevent a huge sell-off.
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.