JUMP REPORT
Avg Daily Volume: 2,023,785 Market Cap: 5.83B
Sector: Consumer Goods Short Interest: 9.17
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
THIS QTR: EPS: .70/share REV: 1,340/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .34/share ACTUAL: .49/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .39/share REV: 1,220/M
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FULL YR: EPS: 2.27/share REV: 5,100/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
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BEAT/MISS RECORD: 63% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) 16.24, -15.98, 18.95
EXPECTED JUMP MOVE: 10-15%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
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Skechers reported record first-quarter sales this week, and discussed its efforts to broaden its appeal on the path to $10 billion in sales.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals a positive market reaction after some significant up and down movement while the bulls and bears figure out what direction to take. The release may have mixed news and this is the reason for the whipsaw and it reduces our confidence on any sustained pop post release.
We are biased LONG, but uncertain about the potential for whipsaw and a down move past any stops, as investors digest the release.
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OUR TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: BUY end of day or at release – if further data supports the trade. We may hold until after the release and jump in after the anticipated down move.
STOP LOSS: NA
INITIAL PROFIT TARGET: 15%
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TRADE ASSIST: YES – we will likely wait till close to enter based on our model of an initial down move.
POST RELEASE ACTION:
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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.
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