JUMP REPORT
TEXAS ROADHOUSE (TXRH)
EARNINGS RELEASE - AUGUST 3 (AMC)
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
THIS QTR: EPS: -.63/share REV: 843.6/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .58/share ACTUAL: .23/share (MISS)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: -.05/share REV: 586.9/M
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FULL YR: EPS: -.02/share REV: 2,370/M
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BEAT/MISS RECORD: 83% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) -6.19, 9.25, 22.06
EXPECTED JUMP MOVE THIS QUARTER: 15%
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*** With market volatility at extremes there is greater risk in trading these events which may not react as they would under normal market conditions. Please take extra caution before trading
Links To Latest News and Headlines
Looking back on sit-down dining stocks’ Q1 earnings, we examine this quarter’s best and worst performers, including Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH) and its peers.
Texas Roadhouse’s first quarter saw a strong positive reaction from the market, reflecting management’s emphasis on traffic growth and operational consistency. The company attributed its performance to a 7.1% rise in same-store sales, powered by a notable 4.5% increase in guest traffic and continued menu appeal. CEO Jerry Morgan underscored that “traffic and mix trends show that our guests continue to trust us to provide an experience worthy of their time and money,” highlighting the brand’s end
While strong cash flow is a key indicator of stability, it doesn’t always translate to superior returns. Some cash-heavy businesses struggle with inefficient spending, slowing demand, or weak competitive positioning.
In early May 2026, Texas Roadhouse reported first-quarter revenue of US$1.63 billion and net income of US$123.43 million, alongside ongoing dividend payments and guidance for positive comparable restaurant sales in 2026 supported by menu price increases. The company’s solid traffic-driven same-store sales growth, combined with easing inflation pressures and higher menu prices, has prompted optimistic analyst commentary and increased interest from large institutional investors despite a…
Investing.com — Texas Roadhouse shares received a ratings upgrade from RBC Capital Markets on Friday, with analysts citing improving beef cost dynamics and resilient customer demand as key drivers for future earnings growth.
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ANALYSIS:
We love trading TXRH and have done so every quarter for years with high accuracy. The data suggests an up move post release, however it may not be trustworthy with the fundamentals and potential losses being forecast in any guidance which will determine the outcome of the move.
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OUR TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: HOLD (BUY)
STOP LOSS: N/A
INITIAL PROFIT TARGET: —
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TRADE ASSIST: N/A
POST RELEASE ACTION:
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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is stripped down to only what is needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.
Members who are too busy to manual trade can use Trade Assist. For more information visit here
| Avg Daily Volume: 1,349,060 Market Cap: 3.37B Sector: Services Short Interest: 8.56 |
Ticker delayed 20 minutes
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