JUMP REPORT
TEXAS ROADHOUSE (TXRH)
EARNINGS RELEASE - AUGUST 3 (AMC)
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
THIS QTR: EPS: -.63/share REV: 843.6/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .58/share ACTUAL: .23/share (MISS)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: -.05/share REV: 586.9/M
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FULL YR: EPS: -.02/share REV: 2,370/M
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BEAT/MISS RECORD: 83% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (LAST 3 QTRS %) -6.19, 9.25, 22.06
EXPECTED JUMP MOVE THIS QUARTER: 15%
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*** With market volatility at extremes there is greater risk in trading these events which may not react as they would under normal market conditions. Please take extra caution before trading
Links To Latest News and Headlines
Commentary from Jim Cramer tying pressure on Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) to broader oil-related concerns has put a fresh spotlight on how commodity inflation and higher labor costs might affect the restaurant operator’s recent share performance. Recent trading has been choppy for Texas Roadhouse, with the share price at US$167.56 after a 7-day share price return that fell 7.54% and a 30-day share price return down 18.06%. The 1-year total shareholder return of 7.65% and 3-year total shareholder…
Texas Roadhouse has pulled back sharply in recent weeks, yet over a longer stretch the share price remains far above where it was a few years ago. That gap between a strong multi year run and a recent slide raises a straightforward question for you as an investor: how much of today’s US$167.56 price is really supported by the cash the business can generate. Texas Roadhouse has delivered a 93.5% return over the past 5 years, which puts a lot of long term optimism about the restaurant chain’s…
Starting the lightning round on September 17, when a caller mentioned that they bought back Casey’s General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY) after listening to the conference call, Mad Money host Jim Cramer remarked: I think that was a very wise move. You know, look, this was just totally oil. We’re seeing with Texas Roadhouse, too. I […]
McDonald’s (MCD) stock fell 14.2% over the past 12 months, versus roughly 14.3% for the S&P 500, and now sits near its 52-week low. Over roughly the same stretch, management changed how it explains weak traffic. It used to point at customers outside its control. It now points at its own restaurants, and that makes the stock a different bet.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) trades at about 28.4 times its trailing adjusted earnings, the basis that adds stock-based compensation back to normalized net income. That is a steep price for a chain whose existing restaurants are guided to low single-digit sales growth for 2026. On what analysts expect Chipotle to earn by 2027, the same price is about 24.1 times. Those forward multiples sit on analyst-consensus earnings, which are not defined the same way as the trailing adjusted figure, so part
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ANALYSIS:
We love trading TXRH and have done so every quarter for years with high accuracy. The data suggests an up move post release, however it may not be trustworthy with the fundamentals and potential losses being forecast in any guidance which will determine the outcome of the move.
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OUR TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: HOLD (BUY)
STOP LOSS: N/A
INITIAL PROFIT TARGET: —
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TRADE ASSIST: N/A
POST RELEASE ACTION:
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There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes involved in the analysis and trade plan tab above, that does not get put into the report. Too much information for traders often confuses things – so this is stripped down to only what is needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.
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| Avg Daily Volume: 1,349,060 Market Cap: 3.37B Sector: Services Short Interest: 8.56 |
Ticker delayed 20 minutes
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