Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 2,938,017 Market Cap: 2.79B Sector: Services Short Interest: 13.85 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: .25/share REV: 855.65/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .80/share ESTIMATED: .79/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .80/share REV: 1,001/M
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FY19: EPS: 2.62/share REV: 4,060/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 64% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 4.9, 6.14, 9.97
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
Urban Outfitters (URBN) is bucking the trend. The retail company that targets younger demographics is posting record revenue and cash generation amid an environment characterized by low consumer confidence. A closer look reveals that the company is making inroads with “Gen Z,” and it’s not just its clothes getting the attention. However, with its stock up 80% in the last year, I believe the market has fully priced in Urban’s renewed potential in a fiercely competitive retail clothing industry. T
Here are the four discounted PEG-based value stocks that qualify our screening criteria- URBN, XRAY, LTM and EXEL.
Strong sales growth sends Big Money to Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN).
Stocks that outperform the market usually share key traits such as rising sales, expanding margins, and increasing returns on capital. The select few that can do all three for many years are often the ones that make you life-changing money.
Clothing and accessories retailer Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales rose 10.7% year on year to $1.33 billion. Its non-GAAP EPS of $1.16 per share was 38.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals a negative overall market reaction to the news release. They are trading at near annual lows and we were looking for a beat and news that would propel the stock higher, but we are not seeing it. There was some data about a miss on some of the metrics (perhaps same store sales) but its ambiguous. We are biased short on this one
We are SHORT on the event
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 10%
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UPDATE: We remain biased short – even though it looks oversold and trading at annual lows.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They beat on the main metrics, but the key for the main move in the am will be in the guidance. We revised our take profit from break-even to 6% and will revisit in the AM.
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.