Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 2,938,017 Market Cap: 2.79B Sector: Services Short Interest: 13.85 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: .25/share REV: 855.65/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .80/share ESTIMATED: .79/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .80/share REV: 1,001/M
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FY19: EPS: 2.62/share REV: 4,060/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 64% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 4.9, 6.14, 9.97
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
US softline retailers are expected to take advantage of an ongoing data center construction boom, wi
Small-cap stocks can be incredibly lucrative investments because their lack of analyst coverage leads to frequent mispricings. However, these businesses (and their stock prices) often stay small because their subscale operations make it harder to expand their competitive moats.
BOOT trades at a premium valuation as store expansion, exclusive brands and digital growth continue to support long-term momentum.
Abercrombie stock surged after another earnings beat as the retailer extended its sales growth streak and reaffirmed full-year guidance.
Urban Outfitters’ first quarter performance was shaped by strong growth across its key brands and channels, with management attributing the results to standout sales at Free People and FP Movement, as well as robust subscriber gains at Nuuly. CEO Richard Hayne highlighted that all retail segment brands delivered positive comparable sales, while the wholesale and subscription businesses contributed double-digit revenue gains. Marketing initiatives and investments in technology, including AI-drive
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals a negative overall market reaction to the news release. They are trading at near annual lows and we were looking for a beat and news that would propel the stock higher, but we are not seeing it. There was some data about a miss on some of the metrics (perhaps same store sales) but its ambiguous. We are biased short on this one
We are SHORT on the event
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 10%
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UPDATE: We remain biased short – even though it looks oversold and trading at annual lows.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They beat on the main metrics, but the key for the main move in the am will be in the guidance. We revised our take profit from break-even to 6% and will revisit in the AM.
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.