Jump Report
| Avg Daily Volume: 2,938,017 Market Cap: 2.79B Sector: Services Short Interest: 13.85 |
EARNINGS EXPECTATIONS:
ESTIMATED EPS: .25/share REV: 855.65/M
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LAST QTR: EPS: .80/share ESTIMATED: .79/share (BEAT)
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NEXT QTR: EPS: .80/share REV: 1,001/M
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FY19: EPS: 2.62/share REV: 4,060/M
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*These are the base metrics we will be watching against the actual release numbers
BEAT/MISS HISTORY: 64% OF THE TIME THEY BEAT ESTIMATES
PRIOR ‘JUMP ZONE’ MOVES (3 QTRS %) 4.9, 6.14, 9.97
POTENTIAL JUMP MOVE: 8-10%
Links To Latest News and Headlines
Selling baggy jeans isn’t enough to win over Gen Z. Urban Outfitters, the young adult retailer known for its alternative, vintage-inspired styles, learned this the hard way.
The brand’s North American head previously acknowledged that “customers perceive us as expensive.”
Whether you’re a value, growth, or momentum investor, finding strong stocks becomes easier with the Zacks Style Scores, a top feature of the Zacks Premium research service.
Key Insights Urban Outfitters’ estimated fair value is US$49.46 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Urban…
Abercrombie (ANF) reported earnings 30 days ago. What’s next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.
Analysis and trade direction are uploaded generally between noon and 1pm EST for most events. ALWAYS check back near market close for updates as the analysis can change by end of session.
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ANALYSIS:
StockJumpers trajectory analysis reveals a negative overall market reaction to the news release. They are trading at near annual lows and we were looking for a beat and news that would propel the stock higher, but we are not seeing it. There was some data about a miss on some of the metrics (perhaps same store sales) but its ambiguous. We are biased short on this one
We are SHORT on the event
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TRADE PLAN:
ENTRY: SELL
STOP LOSS: 5%
TAKE PROFIT: 10%
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UPDATE: We remain biased short – even though it looks oversold and trading at annual lows.
POST RELEASE ACTION: They beat on the main metrics, but the key for the main move in the am will be in the guidance. We revised our take profit from break-even to 6% and will revisit in the AM.
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NOTE: There is a significant amount of data behind the scenes in getting to the analysis in the tab above. Too much information for traders only confuses things – so this is striped down to only what it needed to make the best possible decision(s) on trading the trajectory.